How does the activity of students change as the course progresses, particularly with students who persist to earn certification? Figure 6 highlights courseware and course-site (pre-launch) interactions for three of the disjoint participant types: only viewed, only explored, and certified. In 8.MReV, there is a noticeable periodicity in each curve that is highly correlated with content release and due dates. Certified students show a relatively stable weekly periodicity, while the periodicity of the viewed and explored curves disappears after about one-third and two-thirds of the course, respectively. It is important to note that these curves do not account for registration date or for large times between user interactions. However, they do provide insight into the collective behavior of our defined populations. It is particularly interesting to formulate hypotheses about behavior early in the course, e.g., attempting to target struggling students that may benefit from intervention.

Figure 6. Daily number of unique participants accessing courseware or course-site (pre-launch) via our described participant categories. Vertical dashed lines indicate the start and end of the course.

Figure 6

Do students who register early have a higher likelihood of earning a certificate than students who register late? Figure 7 depicts the certification fraction versus registration week relative to course launch (bubbles indicate total enrollment each week). Across MITx courses, certification rates do not depend greatly on registration dates prior to launch, although some courses have higher registration rates very early as well as just prior to launch. For 8.MReV, a relatively flat pre-launch distribution is seen, where roughly 10% of the users registering prior to launch earn a certificate regardless of enrollment week. After launch, the rate drops dramatically. Because of the highly structured due dates in 8.MReV, it is reasonable to attribute most of the post-launch drop in certification rates to registrants who have missed due dates and find it difficult or impossible to catch up.

Figure 7. Certification fraction versus registration week relative to course launch. Bubble size represents the number of unique users registering each week.

Figure 7